A fine and settled start to summer with June bringing long
spells dry and warm weather. The end of June is always a
critical time and could be the start of the 'Return of the
Westerlies' but I think that this summer will not see the wet,
dull and cool conditions that dominated the the summers of 2007
to 2012. With sea temperatures in the Atlantic below normal to
our south west and above normal to the north west, this could
lead to more blocking situations with a more southerly aspect to
our weather. Overall a generally warm and often settled summer
but the potential for unsettled and/or thundery spells cannot be
ruled out from time to time. |
|
|
Forecast |
Actual |
June: |
A generally warm, dry and
reasonably sunny month. A little unsettled at first but becoming
increasingly settled at the month progresses due to a ridge of
Azores High dominating to the west and south. Maybe turning a
little more unsettled at the end of the month with
thunderstorms. |
Mean Minimum = 11°C
(+0.0°C)
Mean Maximum = 22°C (+0.5°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 220 hrs (120%)
Total Monthly Rain = 30 mm
(65%) |
Mean Minimum = 11.4°C
(+0.5°C)
Mean Maximum = 22.0°C (+2.6°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 260 hrs
(132%)
Total Monthly Rain = 35
mm (70%) |
July: |
July could start warm,
humid and thundery but a spell of settled, sunny, anticyclonic
weather may dominate the 2nd and 3rd weeks. Heatwave risk
develops as the month progresses with the end of July turning
hot, humid and with thunderstorms (I'm making it up here). |
Mean Minimum = 14°C
(+1.0°C)
Mean Maximum = 23°C (+1.5°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 240 hrs (120%)
Total Monthly Rain = 60 mm
(140%) |
Mean Minimum = 13.0°C
(-0.1°C)
Mean Maximum = 24.2°C (+3.3°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 272 hrs
(131%)
Total Monthly Rain = 36 mm
(73%) |
August: |
I expect August to be warm,
humid and with thundery outbreaks. The old adage of 'Three fine
days and a thunderstorm' could apply to this month. A heatwave
risk peaks during the first two weeks. |
Mean Minimum = 14°C
(+1.0°C)
Mean Maximum = 23°C (+1.0°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 220 hrs (110%)
Total Monthly Rain = 80 mm
(130%) |
|
September: |
I regard September as a
continuation of summer, especially up to the start of the 4th
week (around the 21st). This month is likely to be a warm or
even hot at times and humid for the first half then increasingly
unsettled and wetter from the 3rd week onwards (I really am
making this forecast up here). |
Mean Minimum = 12°C
(+0.0°C) Mean Maximum =
20°C (+1.0°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 190 hrs (100%)
Total Monthly Rain = 60 mm
(120%) |
|